Baltimorican
Practice Squad
Yeah so there's a couple problems with this:
1. Goedert's contract came before the Eagles signed either of their two expensive WRs.
2. While EDC is much more aggressive with the cap than Ozzie was, I don't see EDC doing max void years like Philly does.
3. 5 for 70, in my opinion, would be a massive, massive overpay. I don't think Likely would get anything in the stratosphere of that on the open market, and he would need to take a HUGE step forward in terms of output, efficiency, and target share to warrant that level of contract. I think, today, its something closer to the 3/30 range of like a Hunter Henry type.
4. Right around the time you'll decide to pay Likely is about the same time you'll decide to pay Flowers, and Flowers is obviously significantly more valuable and significantly more expensive.
5. I'm not certain Andrews would take a $4M AAV paycut based on a bad performance in one playoff game. Either he won't get extended at all and leave, or I think he'll be extended at something closer to like 2/25 or closer to 2/30. Just lighter on the guaranteed $.
I like Likely, but I don't think finding a player like him in day 2 or day 3 of the draft is super difficult.
Well obviously I'm ballparking very roughly but at least on the theoretical level:
Eagles always spend to the max and Goedert's contract was seen as high at the time for a guy who was the #2 behind Ertz. A contract for Likely that says 5/70 but is really more like 4/52 would put him right in line with guys like Freirmuth/Engram and even Andrews. If you think he's the heir apparent (and he sure looks the part) that's the type of contract you lock him into under your terms right now.
Likely and Flowers don't compete for big contracts IMO, you should be able top pay 2 pass catchers. If anything you might have to choose between Likely and Bateman. IMO The guys they should prioritize to lock in over next 2 yrs are Hamilton/Linderbaum/Flowers/Likely. And after that you have to make decisions on Oweh/T Jones/Bateman/Faalale (you can prolly keep 2/4).
I'll buy your adjustment to Andrews contract, I didn't put much thought into it but again I'm factoring in a "dummy" year.