But you are assuming the Ravens won’t take an OT early because of your own biased perceived logjam at the position despite numerous question marks to the contrary and a major one with Stanley himself. If we had a stud LG that would mitigate some the LT need but I think we’ll address the position with a day 2 pick at the latest. I also suspect that whoever we get would be athletic enough to go inside too, which is another assumption you’re making.
Fact is, you make as many assumptions as anyone else. Doesn’t make you more right or wrong than anyone else.
Well some of those question marks are YOUR question marks, not mine, nor are they necessarily the Ravens question marks. The question marks are opinions, not facts.
If we want a stud LG then we should be paying for a stud LG, because nothing in the draft is guaranteed. I could argue nothing in FA is guaranteed either, but obviously monetarily one has advantages over the other.
In terms of the difference between yours and my assumptions, I think they're pretty dramatic. For starters, the entire basis for your assumptions are "I don't know if these guys are healthy or good". Not very provocative. You could say that about like 80% of the roster, including our entire secondary (literally), our entire RB room (literally), and our QB. Is the expectation we're going to have contingencies or replacements for all of those guys as well, since we don't know how they'll respond to injuries or even if they're good? (Doubt it)
As for my assumptions, they have less to do with how productive they'll be (because I don't know, and neither do you) and about how they're going to fit in a finite roster. Its kind of hard to argue I have a "biased logjam", considering I didn't make the logjam. The Ravens did. When you basically guarantee that 5-6 of your lineman are on the active roster, that's of their creation, not mine. My bias or lack thereof doesn't change that they don't really have options to reduce it.
So my assumptions (I'd argue they're not assumptions at all) are based on the following:
1. We've got three tackles who are locked into roster spots. Stanley, Moses, Mekari. Really doesn't matter how we feel about them, they've been signed and structured in a way that they're not going anywhere but to the 53 man, or on IR.
2. We have a great Guard in Zeitler, and we've also used two day two draft picks on interior lineman in the last two years, which is Cleveland and Phillips. Neither got a tremendous amount of playing time at that spot in the last few years, but it would be extremely odd for the Ravens to move on from either, given they really don't know if either can play that spot. Anybody who is assuming that they can't play that spot also has no real basis for that assumption, because they really haven't seen it.
In my opinion, which I think is hard to argue against at this point, those six guys all have locked in roster spots.
Haven't addressed Center yet, meaning there's probably another addition coming there AND somebody who can back them up. Likely TCC.
The irony for me is that we're talking about a high level of certainty of any Guard or Tackle being drafted high in the draft, when we've already relatively done that for several years now. Took two guards in round three the last two years, and we also took guards in the 4th round in 19 and 20, and we still apparently have an opening there. Not sure another day 2 or day 3 draft pick should be assumed to be a starter at that level either, or even a high end backup.