I agree. I think its mostly about the usage for me. Like, realistically, what's a good target share for him? Short of injuries, he's going to be, at best, the third highest targeted player in the passing game. And that's a passing game that figures to decrease since last year into a more run-based offense.
Last year, the 3rd option in the passing game averaged just under 6 targets per game, which was Bateman. His weekly average was basically 4 catches for 45 yards.
In 2020, the 3rd option in the passing game was Snead, who averaged a little under 4 targets per game. His weekly average was basically 2-3 catches for about 30 yards.
In 2019, which may be a good indicator, the 3rd option was basically a combination of Hurst and Snead. They both averaged in the ballpark of 2-3 targets per game, and had a weekly average of roughly 2 catches for 22 yards.
So, for me, I'm not seeing the volume available for Likely to have like a gigantic season, UNLESS, there's a significant injury to Andrews. Like even if Likely were to manage to get like 5 targets a week, you're probably looking at something like 4/40-50 on a weekly basis. A good line, but nothing close to what Andrews did last year.