• Welcome to PurpleFlock! Sign up here so that you can chat with your fellow Ravens fans.

2026 NFL Draft Gameday Thread

What position will the Ravens select with their first pick in the draft

  • DT

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • EDGE

    Votes: 3 11.1%

  • LB

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • DB

    Votes: 3 11.1%

  • OL

    Votes: 19 70.4%

  • RB

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • TE

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • WR

    Votes: 2 7.4%
  • Total voters
    27
  • Poll closed .
My body is ready for tonight
 
rmcjacket23 said:
1. Where are the Ravens getting another third round pick from? If you're getting a third back in a move up, it's costing you next years 1st, not pick 45. 31 NFL teams are saying no thank you to some offer involving giving up 45 and getting like pick 80 back. Horrendous deal for the acquiring team. If you're getting a pick back at all to give up 45, its definitely a day 3 pick, and I'd bet it's not a 4th rounder either. Draft trade value charts are not historically accurate when it comes to determining trade value.
2. Many of the players Hendrickson would play ahead of had very little sack production last year to replace. That's how you get 30 as a team. Hendrickson doesn't need to carry the slack. Madubuike does. Mike Green does. They had low sack numbers. If you get even one additional sack out of both of them, you're at league average already.
3. Paying for Crosby is acquiring proven talent with a track record of on-field output. Trading multiple assets to acquire Bain is, like every draft pick, a totally "maybe". Maybe at his peak, he's Oweh. Nobody knows. That's why unless you feel like he's a true game wrecker, you sit and wait to see if he falls, or you let him slide further and make a trade that involves giving up picks you don't actually care about.
4. Forcing yourself to use a 3rd rounder on a Center basically means he has to be good. Otherwise, you're just worse on the Oline. You want to take a player, not a position.
Click to expand...
Because a 2 is a sizable overpay to go from 14 to 8. So you would need a pick back. A 3rd gets it close and then some day 3 picks can be thrown together to get the value right.

We don’t know if JM is playing this year at all. Furthermore the argument is “one player isn’t taking you from bottom 5 to average. Arguing that maybe others can do better doesn’t really address that premise and instead dodges it. Saying that the snaps Trey is taking would account for 3-5 sacks is a low number and is why the team is bad at pass rush but to reach 40 he needs 10 AND those 3-5. Otherwise they don’t get to 40.

You get both in this scenario: an elite player with a proven track record and an elite prospect with high upside. You are right that maybe he doesn’t succeed. However maybe is a flawed way of thinking. Maybe Trey is washed after his injury. Maybe Crosby is worse than Oweh now. You can throw maybes about everything to argue against doing anything. There are 3 pass rushers with all pro potential and Bain is one of them.

Your 4th point applies to whatever round they use to draft a C or G. If he is bad then you are worse off. That’s how drafting works though and that need exists whether they fill it on day 1 or day 2 with the same risks if they don’t fill it.
 
Simba said:
Told a good number of you who reached out directly yesterday who the presumed target was. Text this morning was a simple shoulder shrug emoji. So who knows what we're about to see.
Click to expand...
As in, your understanding is that THEIR understanding is maybe more uncertain this morning than it was yesterday?
 
Well, all that's missing is Jason Boris (the one who's been most accurate with mock drafts for the last 5 years). It'll all come down to Ioane, Sadiq, and Fano.



Ahora la tendencia está claramente a favor de Ioane.



Boris finally predicts Kenyon Sadiq on the 14th
 
Last edited:
These are the players with the most accurate predictions over the last 5 years.

And this is their pick for the Ravens.


1 Jason Boris - Kenyon Sadiq (23 de abril)
2 Brendan Donahue - Ioane ( 23 de abril )
3 Jared Smola - Olavaivega Ioane (22 de abril)
4 Lou Pickney - Ioavavega Ioane ( 22 de abril )
5 Scott Smith - Ioavavega Ioane (16 de abril)
6 Matthew Freedman - Spencer Fano ( 19 de abril )
7 Russell Brown - Spencer Fano (22 de abril)
8 Josh Norris - Mansoor Delane (20 de abril)
9 Xavier Cromartie - Ioane (22 de abril)
10 Brian Johannes - Ioane (22 de abril)
11 David P. Woods - Ioane ( 22 de abril )
12 Forrest N Long - ioane ( 22 abril )
13 John Daigle - Kenyon Sadiq ( 22 de abril )
14 Brian Phlipot - Ioane (23 de abril)
15 Matthew Jones - Olavaivega Ioane ( 23 de abril )
16 Ben Standig - Olavaivega Ioane ( 7 de abril )
17 Peter Clarke - Ioane (23 de abril)
18 Tom Downey - Reunión Bain (22 abril )
19 Trevor Sikkema - Maouiga (22 de abril)
20 Ryan McCrystal - carnell Tate (23 de abril)
 
Adreme said:
Because a 2 is a sizable overpay to go from 14 to 8. So you would need a pick back. A 3rd gets it close and then some day 3 picks can be thrown together to get the value right.

We don’t know if JM is playing this year at all. Furthermore the argument is “one player isn’t taking you from bottom 5 to average. Arguing that maybe others can do better doesn’t really address that premise and instead dodges it. Saying that the snaps Trey is taking would account for 3-5 sacks is a low number and is why the team is bad at pass rush but to reach 40 he needs 10 AND those 3-5. Otherwise they don’t get to 40.

You get both in this scenario: an elite player with a proven track record and an elite prospect with high upside. You are right that maybe he doesn’t succeed. However maybe is a flawed way of thinking. Maybe Trey is washed after his injury. Maybe Crosby is worse than Oweh now. You can throw maybes about everything to argue against doing anything. There are 3 pass rushers with all pro potential and Bain is one of them.

Your 4th point applies to whatever round they use to draft a C or G. If he is bad then you are worse off. That’s how drafting works though and that need exists whether they fill it on day 1 or day 2 with the same risks if they don’t fill it.
Click to expand...
1. An overpay based on what? An arbitrary trade value chart? Not only could it simply not be an overpay at all, but a) the objective of the team you're trading with is to make you overpay and b) it's entirely possible that based on what actually happens in drafts, it's an underpay, not an overpay. They may want more than just 45. Certainly reasonable, given that they have something you want. If you compared many first round trades of any magnitude in recent years, you're going to find "overpay" compared to these trade value charts is an understatement. Teams are not only overpaying, they're overpaying by a significant magnitude in a lot of cases.
2. Where did you come up with 3-5 additional? Van Noy didn't have 3 sacks. Neither did Jones. Your top 4 sack leaders from last year are back on the roster and wouldn't rate to see reduced playing time with the addition of Hendrickson. They'd only see a drop in playing time with injuries or further additions at the high end of the draft.
3. Bain gets a fully gtd 4 year contract with additional draft comp given up. Hendrickson, if fails, gets cut after two years. The latter is much lower risk.
4. The risks of getting a starter at really any position decreases with every round in the draft you wait. 1st round picks have higher "hit" rates than 2nd rounders, 2nd rounders are higher than 3rd rounders, etc. The graphs of this have been clear for a long time.
 
Tonight’s either gonna be boring af or we’re gonna do something crazy
 
rmcjacket23 said:
1. An overpay based on what? An arbitrary trade value chart? Not only could it simply not be an overpay at all, but a) the objective of the team you're trading with is to make you overpay and b) it's entirely possible that based on what actually happens in drafts, it's an underpay, not an overpay. They may want more than just 45. Certainly reasonable, given that they have something you want. If you compared many first round trades of any magnitude in recent years, you're going to find "overpay" compared to these trade value charts is an understatement. Teams are not only overpaying, they're overpaying by a significant magnitude in a lot of cases.
2. Where did you come up with 3-5 additional? Van Noy didn't have 3 sacks. Neither did Jones. Your top 4 sack leaders from last year are back on the roster and wouldn't rate to see reduced playing time with the addition of Hendrickson. They'd only see a drop in playing time with injuries or further additions at the high end of the draft.
3. Bain gets a fully gtd 4 year contract with additional draft comp given up. Hendrickson, if fails, gets cut after two years. The latter is much lower risk.
4. The risks of getting a starter at really any position decreases with every round in the draft you wait. 1st round picks have higher "hit" rates than 2nd rounders, 2nd rounders are higher than 3rd rounders, etc. The graphs of this have been clear for a long time.
Click to expand...
The arbitrary trade value chart that seems to roughly track with every trade for the past 30 years yes. Given that it seems to be the thing every single team has followed then you can basically gauge the value of each trade based on it and a 1st and a 2nd is an overpay so a 3rd would have to come back and then a few late round swaps to even out the value.

I think its bold to say the snap counts wont be affected. Trey will probably be in on every single passing down because of the gap in skill between him and the others. That means one less spot for them to rotate into. Therefore the snaps that came from that position that are going to him, he has to not only do that production, but then surpass it by 10 to get to 40 sacks which again is possible but difficult considering he is 2 years older and coming off an injury.

I am also fascinated that Hendrickson will make about 45m if you cut after 2 years and Bain is 4 years 30m so 15m less which to me is a safer bet. I would also mention, in the same vein as the previous paragraph, that if you stay at 14 you owe about 23m so you really are talking about 7m in additional risk over 4 years compared to Treys 45m. That is also ignoring that you could certainly find a trade partner for the last 2 years of that which would save about 17m out of the 30m. So in terms of financial commitment Trey is the far bigger risk. Now you are right that if Bain is bad then the draft pick value is lost but that is true of every single player you could pick. Of the names generally being mocked (I see the TE and G being the main ones) Bain is by far the player with the highest all pro potential the positional value is far higher. So its a higher value prospect, at a higher value position, at one of the Ravens 2 major needs.

Funnily enough I have seen a few pieces that show if your goal is to get starters you tend not to fair that well in the second round as most second round picks are "first round talent but..." which makes them more boom or bust. If you are looking for starters the 3rd is often a good place to look. They wont blow you away but they will be solid starters.
 
Tank said:
A stud at TE would be nice, but for me Vega is the smart pick that would have the most immediate and lasting impact. Hopefully he’s still there at 14 and we make him a Raven.
Click to expand...

This is who I'm hoping for because OL is a force multiplier. If we could win a bowl on the legs of Henry, I wouldn't care if we threw the ball 10 times in January. Just build a wall upfront and let's see where it takes us.

I do have a feeling your boy snatches him at 10, though.
 
Deebo813 said:
Trade out of 1st if vega not there… get cardinals picks for this year and next
Click to expand...
Well, that sounds lovely but need two to tango that dance. I'm not sure anyone gives us what we would need. I'd take a 2026 2nd and a 2027 1st round pick and be very happy with that haul.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top