1. OK, but saying all of that, I'd give the Saints and Falcons, with their current roster, + Deshaun Watson, a much, much, much better chance of being a playoff team than I would giving Cleveland, with their current roster + Deshaun Watson.
Like Cleveland would be the best team out of the four, and probably be the least likely to make the playoffs at the same time.
2. $35M AAV isn't all that relevant anyway. Any team acquiring Watson is getting the balance remaining of his contract, which is 4 years at $137M. The key is it's only two years of guaranteed money, at a total of $72M. The great part of any acquiring team is the Texans made his deal salary heavy, which makes it easy for teams to convert to bonuses and prorate. He'll play at least 3-4 years with whatever team gets him and probably never have a cap hit close to $40M.