The Ravens for QBs play: a below average rookie twice, a guy who hasnt played in 2 years on his 3rd game, and Marcus Mariota so the defense will once again shut those teams down.
And While I think it is still more likely that the Ravens enter that game 1 game up as the Bengals have: Browns, Buccs, Patriots, Bills, compared to the Ravens: Steelers, Browns, Falcons, Steelers, that still leaves only one scenario in which the division record tiebreaker comes into play and it does not mean the Ravens win. In order for that to happen the Bengals must beat both the Ravens and Browns but lose to the Buccs, Patriots, and Bills. Meanwhile the Ravens must beat ATL and then lose 2/3 of the Steelers x2 and Browns matchup. That is the only scenario in which that tiebreaker does not go the Ravens way and it is a rather unlikely one (I guess with the 2/3 it is technically 3 scenarios out of FAR more (I was about to do it in my head then I realized I have not actually slept yet and so the math would be annoying).
Basically in ANY other scenario where the tiebreaker matters it will go to the Ravens because it means either the Ravens won the final game and they are tied (so the Ravens win) or any other combination of division games happened and they are tied so the Ravens have the tiebreaker. Only in the above scenario is the h2h and division record equal and I would have to check but in that scenario I believe the Bengals might still not have the tiebreaker but that one I am unsure of and would need someone else to build it for me.