Based on what? Something you picked up on Reddit?
1.Lamar is not going to hold out. It would benefit him in no way. The only way truly out of Baltimore(if he even wants that) is forward. He plays another year and then the Ravens can’t afford to tag him twice.
2. The Ravens have the ability to create cap flexibility to fit this years exclusive tag number under the cap.
there's no way lamar doesnt play for the ravens in 2023 unless he makes it clear he's not going to and is potentially going to give up the 45m he'd earn otherwise by not signing the tag and waiting until 2024 - lamar would have to force a trade for one to happen in 2023
it may suck and hinder the team's chances to compete at the top level in the AFC if he's not re-signed longterm but he's not going anywhere else