Its not just the Colts though. When they beat the Cardinals I also thought they were for sure a top 3 possibly even top 2 or 1 team in the AFC but with the benefit of more games the Cardinals are not very good (perhaps they should have stuck to that study clause). They beat an injured Chargers team (the Chargers might be the only team that consistently has worse injury luck than the Ravens) and lost to a bad Colts team. So their entire schedule is them beating a terrible team and playing close games against borderline playoff teams does inspire confidence. Right now I do not have them top 2 and I have them at 4th and I reserve the right if the Bengals become good or the Chargers get healthy or Denver figures out how to throw a football to call them the 5th best team in the AFC.
Mahomes is still fantastic but something does not look right with KC. I still think they should win on Sunday because the NFC is bad and I would pick any of the top 5 in the AFC to win the NFC, but you cannot tell me they do not look worse than previous years.
I don't really care if they look worse than prior years. Worse than prior years means they lose in the AFCG instead of the SB. And if you can make it to the AFCG, you're a contender for the SB. Duh.
I'm not going to go back and worth and argue the merits of their "competitiveness" over a 3 game sample. I don't think the Dolphins are nearly as good as they've shown, nor do I think the Bengals are this bad. But the AFC is a LOT weaker than I thought it would be thus far. Broncos and Raiders are basically total shit at this point, everybody in the AFC South is pedestrian, Steelers are pedestrian, and the Browns are dead without Watson.
That leaves me with Buffalo, Miami, Ravens, Bengals, Chiefs, Chargers. I'll take Chiefs in a playoff game over most of those teams.