rmcjacket23
Ravens Ring of Honor
I'm not discounting the possibility of them going up. I'm mostly pointing out that a 20-25% increase in a 1-2 year period doesn't seem logical or likely, and that pretty much all of these guys are slotting in at the same range over like a 2-3 year period now.I think it’s a fair comp and another point is that yes it’s around 20 AAV but one thing I keep saying that I feel you either neglect to address or fail to understand or choose to ignore is that these contracts will likely keep going up. I think we can get Brown for 20-22 right now but next year or after that? No idea man, could be 25+. Hollywood may not have the production Cooks has had but his value is going up and he was used in a run first offense that didn’t heavily use its WRs with guys like Andrews here as well. Let’s see how he does this year but I think his value will continue to climb.
Future production is pretty key here for me since that’s how NFL teams do deals. They may start negotiating based on past performance but they also look at future production when it comes to these deals. Maybe Brown doesn’t get as much guaranteed we will see but I think he’ll push for 25M if we fail to sign him sooner than later
Realistically, you're only really talking about next offseason anyway. Next offseason is year 5. If you don't extend him then, he'll be a UFA in two years, in which case its hard to envision him signing an extension like a month or two before he hits the market.