rmcjacket23
Ravens Ring of Honor
Well if its anything like how you laid out week 1, you're better off betting less games.I have struggled to actually find more than 3 games I like this week which is a first since probably 2021.
I kinda regret that I have not fought with @rmcjacket23 much this week as that usually helps me iron out my good picks. Right now though outside of 3 games (Buffalo, Jets, Texans) I could be talked into every other game going either way, which is an odd feeling for Thursday.
Should have argued last week. I went 8 for 8. And I guarantee I was on the other side of a lot of games for you.
I probably won't bet the game, mostly because I think the line is priced right, but Buffalo checks every box of a "let down" spot that you see with pretty much every team in this spot. You're getting them off a massive win, long travel overseas, against a team that's been there all week. Buffalo winning by 6 wouldn't surprise me, but there's just not many versions of the NFL where they blow the Jags out.
Of the games I've looked at, there's two principles that hold true over the long run... with Vrabel and Tomlin, fade them as favorites, bet them as dogs. I'm looking to get $ on Indy and Pittsburgh this week.
I think its also time to buy low on Cincinnati. Cincinnati and Arizona are not equals in terms of quality, and they're priced as if they are.
Games I may not bet, but the Jets are sort of "fools gold" at the moment coming off a "good" performance against KC, and I can tell you the sharps will absolutely be taking the Vikings getting anything more than a FG, and many will sprinkle in the ML on that one. Chiefs are a dreadful cover team as a favorite above 3 points. Like printing $ bad. And the higher that # gets, the more dreadful they are ATS.
Texans game I have no real read on. Texans are at their absolute high, and Falcons are probably at their absolute low. Those two teams are pretty on-par with each other in the long run.