I think Lamar really hurt his value.
He's proven that he can't be trusted long term. And before anyone comes at me, it only took 2 injuries back to back for people to say the same thing about Bateman.
Both times Lamar's been knocked out they've been on routine QB hits and that's actually a bad thing. Additionally, both came in about exactly the same time in the season too.
Let's consider some of the relevant factors. Lamar tried to bulk up to be durable over the course of the season. Although he told the media that he wanted to do it, Rapsheet told McAfee the Ravens told him to do it. Even with the added muscle, Lamar has shown his body can't take an entire season of NFL punishment.
Every year he's played, he's had issues with either nagging injuries truly up and down his whole body simultaneously and always has a real problem with getting sick.
With respect to the two injuries that have knocked him out, he's shown an inability to heal on the expected time lines. This one is really strange. I saw Cappa from the Bengals leg get literally snapped in half under the weight of Urban and get carted off. Nonetheless, no boot, cast, or whatever and dude is trying to play this week. Lamar is legitimately still hurt and that's the problem.
If there was one thing that could derail Lamar Jackson's career, it would be the accumulation of injuries. So far he's been fortunate to avoid major surgeries, but he's missed a lot of football. And I don't really see how anyone can be confident he won't miss a lot more. The hits that have taken him out have been neither big or freaky. Those shots WILL happen every year it's unavoidable.
All that being said, availability is huge. It's actually the number one most important thing. Lamar is ultra talented and deserves a big contract unambiguously. That being said, he's not earned the right to a fully guaranteed big contract. There's just no way. He has neither the playoff success nor the regular season durability to warrant it.
Lamar you took a risk. You proved that we're nothing without you and you're worth a lot of value. You also failed to stay healthy again have not been helped your playoff legacy because of it.
Get your head out of your ass and sign the deal your worth without the full guarantees. Your selfishness in this issue affects many beyond yourself.