Yeah I mean I don't know what his market will be, but we signed him for $2.5M with up to $3.5M in incentives. I can't see a scenario where he signs next year for similar. I think he'll want at least double that.
Also, speaking of incentives, Clowney has already earned an additional $1M for sack incentives, and can earn another $750K on top of that if he gets 1.5 more sacks by end of year.
He's also currently at 57% snap share, which earns him $500K as well. That could go up to $1M if he plays 60%.
And as far as I can tell, none of these were deemed LTBE, so they will all hit the '24 cap. So I think he'll count something like $2.5-3M against the '24 cap, regardless of whether he's on the roster or not, due to incentives earned. That would be in addition to whatever you would retain him at.