Dangerous game to be playing, in my opinion. Remember, in order to get comp picks, you have to net qualifying free agent losses.
Ravens are certainly going to be needing to sign some FAs this offseason to fill some of their holes. So the only way to make sure you get a comp pick back is to make sure you're not signing a lot of guys.
Realistically, while we have a large FA class, I'm not sure many of them are going to qualify for comp picks. Its early to tell obviously, but like its basically Yannick, Judon, and Bowser who would actually fetch high or decent price tags on the market, and I'm assuming we will keep at least 1 of those guys.
Other than that, I'm not sure where the comp picks are coming from. Snead, Jimmy maybe, but that's assuming a) we let them walk (I think Snead gets re-signed) and b) they have a decent market. Jimmy's market was terrible last year, and I can't see how that's increased. Even Wolfe would be suspect... he's only making $3M this year, and while I think he's played well, I'm not sure his market would increase. A $3M free agent lost is like a fringe 6th/7th round comp pick, at best.
I think a lot of our FAs leaving are going to be roster minimum or just barely above roster minimum type players, meaning they're not going to qualify most likely.
If its me, I'm deciding between Judon and Yannick, letting the other walk, and then letting Bowser hit the market to determine value. If somebody is going to give him like $10M+ or something absurd, I'll gladly take a 4th or 5th round pick for him.
they dont have to qualify to be included in the formula though as long as they're signed before the cut-off date
obviously it's a risky game to play - i dont think the plan was to basically bring him in to delay the 3rd rounder by a year but i imagine getting that 3rd rounder back was something that at least partly went into their thinking when they parted ways with it
it's not the plan but it's in their minds as an expected consolation prize would be my guess
realistically what free agents are we going to be in the market for that would jeopardise us getting a 3rd round pick (or 2) back from the compensatory formula as long as enough guys (even non-qualifying) get picked up before the deadline they count in the losses vs gains formula
in this scenario we're not worried about volume of picks but would be worried about those two 3rd rounders