So browns got titans, us and steelers left. Steelers could very well sit their starters last game of season, therefore our best bet is to win out.
I don't see many scenarios where Pittsburgh has the luxury of resting starters. It would require them to win their next 4 games and the Chiefs losing at least once.
They'll likely have to play all the way through to get the #1 seed.
The Browns aren't the one's I think we're competing against. I think they're a 10-11 win team already. They, like all of the AFC North, have a very favorable schedule.
Miami only has one more easy win on their schedule, which is this week. They finish with Chiefs, Patriots, Raiders and Bills. If they lose 3 out of 4 or all 4, it wouldn't surprise me. I think they go 9-7.
Raiders have a more favorable schedule, but still have to play Indy, LA and the Dolphins. I think they'll be 9-7 or 10-6 also.
I have no idea what Indy will look like. Still play Pittsburgh, Raiders and Houston twice. I probably like their chances of getting to 10 wins more than most.
So I think if we go 10-6, we'll end up with tiebreakers with Cleveland and probably Indy. I think the Raiders and Dolphins are going to be on the outside looking in.