Does anyone know why Leveon Bell sort of fell off in the first place? Like he was CRAZY good for Pitt. Takes a year off, which for a heavily used RB may have been a good thing. Has 1 good year on the pathetic Jets. He's 27 at the time. Is apparently basically dead at 28, only getting picked up after he's cut by KC because they needed a veteran after injury. Then at 29 isn't on a team again until we need a veteran. It's just weird. How does he go from over 22 50 total yards at 27 on bad team to can't make a roster? This is all to say, if he's happy and working hard, does anyone think he may actually have something left in the tank that he has some greater heights he can still achieve ? Not like RB1 stuff, but maybe a real RB2? And maybe because of our backfield a luxury RB3?
Well, in my opinion, his decline started while he was in Pittsburgh. 2014-2016 was one of the top backs in the league.
In 2017, you could see the decline. Still puts up gaudy stats (almost 2,000 total yards), but he also had over 400 touches that year. His YPC dropped from consistently 4.7-4.9 in the prior three years down to 4.0, which is basically replacement level YPC in the NFL.
I wouldn't even categorize his year with the Jets as good. He had a pathetic 3.2 YPC, on a gigantic number of attempts (245) and he basically had 1,200 yards on over 300 touches, which is thoroughly unimpressive. Only four touchdowns as well. Any RB on our team today, including Williams, Bell, Freeman or Murray, could get 1,200 total yards and 4 TDs on 300 touches. That's how un-special that is.
For context, last year, Dobbins had 925 total yards and 9 TDs on only ~150 touches. The year before, when Ingram was the workhorse, he had ~1,250 yards on 230 touches and 15 TDs. And he was 30 with a TON of usage in his career.
For me, pretty standard example of how RBs can fall off a cliff very quickly with high usage. Bell has been your classic "volume-based" back for several years, and that's a product of getting 22-30 touches per game on average for a 5 year period.
He's pretty much the poster boy for the argument of "draft a RB, run them into the ground on their rookie deal", then let them walk.