1. They'll get 2 late 1sts because any interested teams with a high pick this year will wait until after the draft to sign him. With Lamar at QB, they're unlikely to be picking before the 20s in the following 2 drafts. Ideas that the Ravens could negotiate higher compensation outwith the tag are just wishful thinking.
2. "Everybody will know why we're losing" and "will understand what the transition to a new QB entails" but when Lamar is on a new team on a contract that won't look much different to the Burrow, Herbert or Hurts deals they might ask why those teams were able to keep their QBs and why the Ravens are needing to start again. I think you're over-estimating the patience of a losing fanbase, especially when the people that put the team in that losing position are still in their jobs.
1. Interested teams with a high pick this year that are trading for Lamar are going to end up giving up more than two first round picks anyway. Not to mention that, depending on the team, Lamar isn't going to be the catalyst to a quick change. If Houston, for example, decides not to take a QB, and trade for Lamar later, they're not going to be a good team this year anyway, so the pick will still be decent. At least top 20, likely top 10-15. All depends on the landing spot.
Realistically, a trade post-draft is unlikely unless a team whiffs in the draft entirely. Said trade is very likely to happen before the draft, or in 2024.
2. Because everybody will know that the reason Lamar didn't sign here was because he didn't want to take the contracts similar to those guys. He wanted more, and couldn't get it. And by the time he realized it, it was too late. Those three guys allowed agents to get them deals timely, and not piss away time on Twitter trolling fans instead of, ya know, calling teams about playing for them.
3. I'm not over-estimating fan patience. I'm under-estimating it. Keep in mind the patience of a fanbase lasts about a month before they start bitching.
The difference is they never move past the bitching phase. The people that are Lamar fans and not Ravens fans aren't going to wait around to see if we're winning or losing anyway. They'll jump ship quick.
People after that will bitch, but they'll still watch, still buy tickets, still buy merch. That's kind of what fans do. They talk the talk, but they don't walk the walk.
We pretty much know this is true by just looking at almost literally every other fanbase. The Jets sell out every game and have a huge TV audience. They've only sucked for decades.
The only franchise I see that has a tangible impact on "lack of patience" is Washington, and it took decades of bad Ownership and incompetence to get to that point.