I assume we do not keep both Jimmy and Carr just because with Tavon coming back there is no need. I also am sort of assuming that with Clark starting and Elliot the likely backup that Jefferson is gone as well to save 5M. The rest I just do not see happening.
The extensions that will happen are Stanley, whose cap number will probably not change, Marlon, whose cap number will likely only go up 3-5M, and then that leaves Peters, Pierce, and Judon with about 40M to work with (currently have 60M in cap space and I am assuming you want 10M left over and need about 6M for draft though if Ravens make it deep into playoffs maybe that number goes down). There is more then enough money left over to sign Peters for 17M Pierce for 14-15M, and Judon for 16-17M (or tag him).
If I'm signing somebody like Judon or Peters or Stanley to a large long term extension, I'd like to see some very large early year cap hits. That's not something the Ravens have historically done. I'm still not a believer that we're going to become this team that goes out and buys like 3-4 high priced FAs every year, even with the cap space. I still think the emphasis is going to be on the draft and in keeping our own. And if that's the case, then yes, we should be able to retain anybody we want. But I personally don't want that to be at a level where you're signing Stanley to an $18M/year extension, and his first year cap hit is like $8-10M. That's setting yourself up for failure in the not-so-distant future.
Teams that are doing a great job of cap management are front-loading their large deals at times where they are flush with cap space.
If we're going to be extending guys like Peters and Pierce and Judon for those amounts of money, their first year cap hits should be pretty comparable to their averages. Those three guys alone would probably cost $40M in averages, which means that's about where their cap impact should be. That doesn't leave as much meat on the bone after that.
And remember... these moves would just be to keep our team as is. It doesn't even necessarily make us "better"... it just reduces the risk that we'll be worse.
Or we just do what we've always done, which is backload of a bunch of deals, and get stuck with a bunch of underachieving players on significantly elevating salary cap amounts in the future.
My frustration with Tony Jefferson isn't that he got injured. Its that he got injured, wasn't playing well, AND cost $7M more this year than last year. I like Brandon Williams, and he's played well this year. He costs almost $9M more this year than last year. He's not 2x better this year than last year.
Earl Thomas costs $8M more next year than this year. Is he going to be twice the player because his cap hit is 2x as much?
If we have the cap space, and we want to keep our own, do it. Flatten out the cap structures. Or at the very least, structure it in a way that the cap impact grows at a comparable rate to the cap growing. When you sign Earl Thomas to a $13.5M AAV contract, and his first year cap impact is $7M, that's a bad thing, not a good thing.
Hopefully 2019 was the last year of that.