Don't get all this hindsight 20/20 nonsense. Hindsight is their job. To pick players and sign players that will look good in hindsight. When Matt Millen was fired. Would it of saved his job to say you have the benefit of hindsight judging me. How was I to know Ware was going to be a hall of famer and mike Williams a bust??
And feel like he is fired for not being Nostradamus. That's an idea clone him and make Nostradamus the next GM.
To be fair, if we're addressing logical fallacies, what follows your initial assessment is ironically nonsensical. Hindsight evaluations are predicated upon having information that you otherwise could not have had during the decision making process, which occurred in the present. For example, Len Bias' tragic passing after being selected at No.2 makes the selection itself empty. That being said, it doesn't necessitate the selection being a poor one on Boston's behalf when it was made. The fact that the decisions occur in the present quite literally means that they can't be done in hindsight. This is outright paradoxical. The more appropriate term here is foresight. For example, that Johnny Manziel's partying issues were very much a public spectacle should've given Cleveland the foresight that the troubles may spill over or even worsen at the NFL level. Their FO took the risk and paid the price. The same goes for Dallas drafting Randy Gregory in the early rounds. Foresight has limitations that are reasonably confined within the knowledge available on hand.
You are correct in that the FOs responsibility is to look good in hindsight; however, the issue taken doesn't lie with simply making hindsight assessments. They are innately inescapable. It's about how they're used, not their existence, and the Millen example misses the point entirely. The issue with relying heavily on such analysis is that, by it's own nature, it's significantly easier than real-time analysis. In addition, it isn't unequivocally paralleled with what the best options were and if they were taken and any prolonged dependency on hindsight may incite a tendency of glazing over the variables. The Joe Flacco contract is a prime example of such. At the very time, I personally wasn't enthralled with the figures. It was difficult not to be on board with Flacco as a fixture and a future starter, but the contract was inflated because of the unsustainable postseason success. I was at first disappointed in that he wasn't extended prior to the SuperBowl winning campaign, which may be an even better case, but that point also falls victim to being a potentially unfair hindsight criticism. Probability wise, can I blame the FO for perhaps not expecting Flacco to put forth historical numbers at the end of his final contracted season? Not by much. It was a fairly reasonable bet of an over/under going into that season. Do we win the SuperBowl if Flacco isn't in his contract season? Perhaps so, but the lack of a deal could've been a motivational factor. We could've played hardball with Flacco at the end of the season. We could've even declined to sign him. But what did the options look like at the time? Were we reasonably uncomfortable as a perennially winning team with a newly added SuperBowl win to turn the keys over to Tyrod Taylor, someone I'm very much a fan of? Likely so, as we'd be rolling with a player who flashed in the preseason but didn't look nearly ready in the finale of that very same campaign against Cincinatti over a player who carried the team to its trophy. It doesn't mean that the alternatives couldn't have worked, but it also wasn't void of reason. If you chose to pass, how do you mediate the astronomical chances of immediately turning off future FA suitors and lowering the morale of the current players? As a player considering signing with Baltimore, you've watched the FO draft a QB in the 1st, and after he just thrived in the postseason at 27, you find out that they didn't think enough of him to be worthy enough of a top-tier contract. With that in mind, why would you expect them to consider you to be worthy enough of your market value? From my personal standpoint, I thought that given its inflation due to a stretch with unsustainable numbers and the probability of the level of play somewhat plateauing instead, it was a deal that was likely to disappoint to some degree, but I could at least empathize and understand why it happened given the variables.
It's these types of details that get lost in the shuffle when the situation is oversimplified in hindsight on a pass/fail basis, and that's my biggest issue. It's the same as whenever someone comments that we should've traded up or down for a specific player despite us not knowing whether or not it was even possible. It's not an entirely fruitless point, but it's also a surmising interpretation that could be well off the mark. There are definitely situations that are clear enough to warrant consistent criticism or praise, there's no question there. I thought we had enough resources and needs at their respective positions to land Zach Brown this offseason or Casey Hayward a few seasons prior. I can continue to hang up on those, although even they are somewhat muddied in the uncertainty of whether either of them considered us as their ideal landing spot. I could name multiple players over the past few seasons whom I would've preferred for us to draft over their counterparts who've arguably outperformed the latter to this point, which would be fair. We've made some moves in recent years that have merited valid criticisms from the get-go, and we should continue voicing them so long as they are within reason. But any approach that hinges on the portrayal of every scenario as black and white comes off as a blatantly misguided misrepresentation aided by the benefit of hindsight analysis. And it's worsened further when coupled with the absence of elaboration on any personal missteps.